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Michael LeWitt's avatar

Another thoughtful article. One of the problems with dwindling birth numbers is that what might be good for society, may not be good for the individual (see Prisoner's Dilemma for game theory on this point). Many times, those who are most able to afford having many children, don't feeling that with fewer children, they can spend more time (and resources) on the one(s) they have. To your cohort of families with large number of children, I would add observant Catholics, and members of the Latter Day Saints (commonly known as the Mormons). Unfortunately, neither immigration nor financial incentives (see Japan, for example) will solve the underpopulation problem. Finding ways to reduce menial work, whether through AI, robots, or re-engineering tasks, might help to encourage people to have more children, as their incomes, satisfaction with life, and discretionary time will help. If we are able to reduce childhood mortality, especially in countries where the birthrate is population sustaining, through better distribution of medical care, that would help, as well.

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TED's avatar

Thank you for another though provoking article. You make a good point about how many of our elderly patients do not have offspring to care for them.

I think that you make a jump in logic. Not having enough specially trained people to perform a particular task does not necessarily mean that we do not have enough humans on the planet. That's a non sequitor.

You know very well that we do not have enough physicians to serve all patients. Instead, patients are being treated by well-meaning but poorly trained non-physician midlevel providers. The answer is to train more people to perform needed tasks, not produce more mouths to feed. That seems unnecessary. What we need is more and better training of humans.

Our planet's current human population is over 8 billion. Our environment may not survive the assault of so many carbon dioxide waste producing beings. The planet would do just fine with 3 billion people.

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